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comparing the dot.com
bubbles Jos, I was looking at a
documentary film about the internet and the journalist
was talking about the dotcom bubble of the late nineties
(1995 2001). What he had to say was quite
interesting because he spoke about the subsequent
advantages of this crash in the expansion of the internet
highway. In reality what happened was a massive growth in
startups, which was followed by stock speculation by Wall
Street in the process of making these companies public,
which resulted in massive speculation in their net worth.
This was followed by black Friday that wiped two thirds
of the value of the NASDAQ and a lot of insolvencies
followed. The author of the documentary points out that
the crash was a dawn of a new age in internet use because
vast amounts of venture capital which were used to lay
things like fibre optics networks etc. This meant that in
six years the internet was developed to the advanced
state that it is in now and people were able to benefit
from that. The same is true in the history of the
railroad. There was a speculative frenzy in England in
the 1840 that lead to massive development in railways
followed by a crash, but the infrastructure benefited.
The same happened the history of American railroad. The
idea is that you have speculation, crash, and then long
term structural benefits. The question I was thinking is
what the consequence of the more recent property boom is
going to be. I was thinking that one major feature of the
bubble in Ireland is that there are no benefits from the
property boom in terms of infrastructure. In the
classical model of boom and bust, the government should
have taken the blank cheque and used it as a golden
opportunity to deal with the infrastructural problems of
the country and laid the ground for the new golden age to
follow afterwards. What the government did was to
authorise developments without any infrastructural
benefits as they were blinded by greed (the massive
increases in tax revenue that lead to the expansion in
public service). Arent the
election results great! It is like the people have spoken
in what is really a referendum on the government. I think
that it is interesting that so many independents and left
wing parties got into the councils. Well, I managed to
meet two successful candidates when we were over that
time: Mannix Flynn and Richard Boyd Barrett. Love R http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A-lFwdkqHqY&feature=player_embedded
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