UPDATED Feb14th
Why is the US press silent on
Brzezinskis warnings of war against Iran?
By Barry Grey in Washington DC
Feb 3, 2007, 04:52The major
national newspapers and most broadcast outlets failed
even to report Thursdays stunning testimony by
former national security adviser Zbigniew Brzezinski
before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee.
Brzezinski, national security adviser
to President Jimmy Carter, is among the most prominent
figures within the US foreign policy establishment. He
delivered a scathing critique of the war in Iraq and
warned that the policy of the Bush administration was
leading inevitably to a military confrontation with Iran
which would have disastrous consequences for US
imperialism.
Most significant and disturbing was
Brzezinskis suggestion that the Bush administration
might manufacture a pretext to justify a military attack
on Iran. Presenting what he called a plausible
scenario for a military collision with Iraq,
Brzezinski laid out the following series of events:
Iraqi failure to meet the benchmarks, followed by
accusations of Iranian responsibility for the failure,
then by some provocation in Iraq or a terrorist act in
the US blamed on Iran, culminating in, quote/unquote,
defensive US military action against
Iran... [Emphasis added].
Thus Brzezinski opined that a US
military attack on Iran would be an aggressive action,
presented as though it were a defensive response to
alleged Iranian provocations, and came close to
suggesting, without explicitly stating as much, that the
White House was capable of manufacturing or allowing a
terrorist attack within the US to provide a casus belli
for war.
It is self-evident that such testimony
at an open congressional hearing from someone with
decades of experience in the US foreign policy
establishment and the closest ties to the military and
intelligence apparatus is not only newsworthy, but of the
most immense and grave import. Any objective and
conscientious newspaper or news channel would consider it
an obligation to inform the public of such a development.
Yet neither the New York Times
nor the Washington Post carried so much as a news
brief on Brzezinskis testimony in their Friday
editions. Nor did USA Today or the Wall Street
Journal. All of these publications, of course, have
well-staffed Washington bureaus and regularly cover
congressional hearingsespecially those dealing with
such burning political questions as the war in Iraq.
There is no innocent explanation for
their decision to suppress this story. The Washington
Post on Thursday published a large page-two column
and photo on Henry Kissingers appearance the
previous day before the same Senate committee. The former
secretary of state under Richard Nixon gave testimony
that was generally supportive of the Bush
administrations war policy.
Moreover, the Posts web
edition carried an Associated Press report on
Brzezinskis appearance. That article introduced
subtle but significant changes to Brzezinskis
speculative scenario of the road to war with Iran which
had the effect of underplaying the sharpness and urgency
of Brzezinskis critique of the Bush administration.
It omitted the suggestion that a terrorist attack within
the US could become the justification for war, and it
removed the quotation marks from Brzezinskis talk
of a defensive war against Iran.
The World Socialist Web Site on
Friday telephoned the New York Times, the Washington
Post, the Wall Street Journal and USA Today
to ask for an explanation for their failure to report
Brzezinskis testimony. None of the newspapers
returned our calls.
As for the television news outlets, the
News Hour with Jim Lehrer on PBS showed a
clip of Brzezinski laying out his war scenario before the
Senate committee, without making any comment. NBC
Nightly News ignored the story entirely.
The suppression of this damning
critique of the Iraq war, the conspiratorial methods of
the Bush administration, and its drive to an even wider
war in the Middle East is one more demonstration of the
corrupt and reactionary character of the American mass
media. It indicates that the establishment media is
preparing once again, as in the run-up to the invasion of
Iraq, to serve as a sounding board for the
administrations war propaganda and lies.
http://www.wsws.org/articles/2007/feb2007/brze-f03.shtml

A Nuclear War ? - The Irrational Tsunamai of
Devastation
Iran,
Israel,The Big Lie, and The Real Threat
by Frank Scott
The atrocity in Iraq continues, with greater
opposition within the American ruling party, but
no end in sight. It was made possible by reducing
public consciousness to that of children in a day
care center. But the latest assault on
understanding material reality threatens even
greater and more bloody injustice . If the
continuing barrage of frenzied propaganda
succeeds in casting Iran as global menace, and
Ahmadinejad as global monster, there is no
possible outcome but dreadful
global failure .
Why this wild focus on Iran and its president?
While many insist that only control of oil is at
stake , the zealous core of opposition to the
Islamic and Arab world remains the state of
Israel, and its rabid supporters in the USA. It
is hardly an either/or question, but even as
oil's importance is acknowledged, the enormous
power of the Israeli lobby can continue to be
denied only by those dense enough to deny global
climate change.
Until recently, the existence and power of the
lobby has gone unquestioned. This, in justified
fear of its financial and political wrath , but
also in guilty silence lest past tragedies befall
the Jewish people again. How? The horrible
experience of world war two has often distorted
any sense of modern reality. In deference to
memory of a terrible time for european Jews, we
have allowed a longer lasting terrible time for
those who had nothing to do with any part of that
war .
Israel's pristine status in American
consciousness has meant near obliteration of the
Palestinian people, and most of the Arab and
Islamic world as well . A great mass of humanity
has been reduced to invisibility except as
terrorists or religious fanatics , as they are
depicted by jewish organizations working to
protect a colonial European state, and by the
American political and media establishment .
The major rationale for Israel's existence is the
holocaust, the rabid persecution of European jews
by the nazis in world war two. Perpetuation of
the memory of this dreadful history has become
the most powerful religious movement in the
modern world, accorded the status of theocratic
faith, not to be questioned by any, and to be
ritually worshipped by all.
This has led to intellectual pogroms in Europe
where those who dare to question any parts of the
holocaust story are charged with heresy and
imprisoned. Revenge is not only visited on the
Palestinian people, who had nothing to do with
any part of it, but on europeans who audaciously
use supposed democratic liberties in order to
freely question history.
Treating a material event as a sanctified subject
open to no investigation but that of true
believers is a form of religious fanaticism.
Where biblical mythology about virgin birth, the
parting of the red sea, or immaterial spirits
communicating with material beings are all
subject to intellectual challenge, this historic
event is placed above and beyond the human pale
and any questioning of its substance
treated as political blasphemy.
If this irrationalism were confined to a handful
of individuals currently in prison, it would be
serious enough. But when it becomes the root
cause of moving toward potential nuclear war , it
must be
confronted before it leads to even more
destruction than has already been created in its
tsunami like waves of devastation .
Iraq and Saddam Hussein were deemed threats to
Israel, and its supporters in the USA played a
major role in bringing about the destruction of
that nation and its leader. This was to protect a
state
still seen as a haven for a threatened people,
even if the threats are almost entirely
neuro-psychiatric and only become material as
result of its pariah presence in the middle east.
But present claims that Iran poses an even
deadlier threat to Israel, and which induce a
chorus of support from the American government,
means this irrationalism in the service of
collective neurosis needs to be confronted before
it destroys not only collective sanity, but
collective civilization as well.
Attempting to portray Iran as a nuclear menace to
Israel and the world, in that order, even though
it has no nuclear weapons and Israel has
hundreds, is not merely a sign of dementia . It
is indication of near idiocy in a society that
can be repeatedly manipulated into believing such
totally crackpot notions that have no foundation
in the material world but exist only in a world
of superstitious psycho-fantasy.
While many groups have been terrifying their
members by depicting Ahmadinejad as bent on
exterminating Jews, the Israeli lobby has been
doing the same job on our government . This has
led to congressional leaders and future
presidential candidates lining up in support of
this
totally preposterous fiction. The purveyors of
this notion are completely delusional, but rather
than being sedated or institutionalized, they
preside over and control some of our most
powerful institutions. They wield frightening
influence over an American public and could lead
it to act in ignorant support of such
hallucinatory fears .
Part of this dementia involves a very dangerous
ethnocentric idea; that jewish suffering was, is,
and will always be a central aspect of human
history, and must not only be acknowledged as
such, endlessly, but also atoned for as such,
endlessly. No criticism of this central point,
especially as it involves the holocaust, can be
treated with anything but contemptuous disregard
for the rights of any who fail to toe this
ethnocentric line. After Ahmadinejad dared to
have Tehran host a
conference on the holocaust, with revisionists
who might be imprisoned in Europe allowed to
speak their minds openly in Iran, he and his
nation became a greater menace to that
ethnocentric folly than Iraq and Saddam ever
were.
When a supposedly enlightened civilization is
threatening, once again, to attack another nation
, in great part because of its alleged threat to
the Jewish state and Jews, there can be no
further denial on the part of the majority who
will pay a terrible price. It is time to confine
theological, biblical and metaphysical belief
systems about the past to the imagination and the
church, remove them from political economics ,
and face material reality before it is too late.
Until rational, factual, scientifically provable
conditions are confronted and dealt with,
irrational and near stark raving insane fears
could bring about even greater suffering for
humanity than past ignorance has already caused.
That rational analysis of our world leads to an
unmistakable conclusion:
A euro-jewish and anti-democratic state in the
middle east, and its extremist supporters in the
USA, are a major threat to the global future.
Israel, not Iran is the problem. Face it, and
deal with it.
Copyright (c) 2007 by Frank
Scott. All rights reserved.Frank Scott writes
political commentary which appears in the Coastal
Post, a monthly publication from Marin County,
California, and on
numerous web sites .
frank scott
email: frank@marin.cc.ca.us

|
 |
| January 26, 2007 |
Homage to Herzliya
The Lobby wants war with Iran |
| by Justin Raimondo |
| Asked about
a Senate resolution disapproving the
"surge" of US troops going into Iraq,
Vice President Dick
Cheney growled: "It
won't stop us."
The Senate, the House, the
Constitution, the American people voting in
an election nothing and no one in this
country can stop the
War Party. Are you one of the more
than two-thirds of Americans who oppose this
war, and totally
disapprove of the "surge"? Don't
bother seeking redress
from your
elected representatives in Congress
they long ago abdicated their authority over the
military and diplomatic branches of the national
security bureaucracy.
In 1952, as the Korean war
was raging, the Supreme
Court stopped Harry
Truman when he invoked "national
security" in a bid to nationalize
the nation's steel mills. Congress was more
accommodating. When the dwarfish little haberdasher
sent troops to Korea without bothering to consult
them, our Solons rolled
over and purred, in anticipation of a pat on
the stomach. Ever since then, the conduct of
American foreign policy has been as far removed
from popular control as the decrees of an
absolute monarch. Every Congress has ceded more
authority to the president except for a brief,
post-Vietnam
interregnum until the people's
representatives play only an
advisory role when it comes to questions of
war and peace.
Who, then, controls the foreign policy of this
nation?
Well, there is the
president, who has more power than any Roman
Emperor ever dreamed of: Caligula
only imagined himself to be Jupiter,
while George W. Bush has more
than a few thunderbolts in his quiver, and,
thanks to our supine
Congress, can hurl them at will.
There are the president's courtiers,
his advisors,
his friends
and confidantes.
As in any royal court, the
idea is to get in a position to whisper in
the ear of the king, and there are multitudes of
lobbyists vying for this spot. In the foreign
policy realm, a
great many foreign interests compete for
American attention and largess. Of all these, the
most successful by
far has been the Israel lobby, or, as John
J. Mearsheimer and Stephen Walt have dubbed
it, simply the
Lobby in part, no doubt, because
no other foreign interest or pressure group even
begins to approach it in terms of Washington
clout.
The Lobby used to be a forbidden
topic, or, at least, one discussed in low
whispers, using code words and knowing winks. We
weren't supposed to say, at least out loud, that
Israel, like every other country of consequence,
maintains an active lobby in Washington, one
which also happens to be the most
organized, well-financed, and powerful
pressure group when it comes to foreign policy.
This kind of clout is measured, in part, by the
single largest foreign aid appropriation,
allotted to Israel, $3.5
billion yearly. It is also measured in the
campaign contributions coming from what Wesley
Clark refers to as "the New York money
people."
Clark caused an uproar when he told
Arianna Huffington why he was so worried about
the prospect of war with Iran:
"When we asked him what made him so
sure the Bush administration was headed in this
direction, he replied: You just have to
read what's in the Israeli press. The Jewish
community is divided but there is so much
pressure being channeled from the New York money
people to the office seekers.'"
We have seen no
more blogging by Gen. Clark at the Huffington
Post, and that's, no doubt, for the same
reason I've been banished
from the blog where Holllywood vapidity and DNC
timidity meet and greet. "At one
point," The Huff continues,
"Melinda reminded him that she was
taking down everything he said (a fact that would
have been hard to miss, since she was taking
notes on a not-inconspicuous legal pad). His
response: 'Yes, I know." For Clark, this is
the biggest foreign policy issue facing the US
I'm worried about the surge,' he said.
But I'm worried about this even
more.'"
Yes, comrade, we're taking all this down: see
you at GPU
headquarters. Next stop, the
gulag.
Tellingly, the usually voluble Arianna, who
has an opinion on virtually every subject, had nothing
to say about Israel's
invasion of Lebanon.
Attacked
by all the usual
suspects,
Clark was ably defended by Matt
Yglesias. Yglesias, a writer for the American
Prospect whose blog
is the go-to place for a sober, left-of-center
(and pretty consistently noninterventionist)
viewpoint, says
that everything Clark said is true, and, what's
more, everybody knows it's true:
"Most major American Jewish
organizations cater to the views of extremely
wealthy major donors whose political views are
well to the right of the bulk of American Jews,
one of the most liberal ethnic groups in the
country. Furthermore, it's true that major Jewish
organizations are trying to push the country into
war. And, last, it's true that if you read the
Israeli press you'll see that right-wing Israeli
politicians are anticipating a military
confrontation with Iran."
For evidence of the war hysteria now sweeping
official Israeli circles, readers of the Israeli
(and overseas) press will note the attention
paid to the seventh annual Herzliya
conference, an event attended by top Israeli
and American leaders, including a
surprising number of would-be occupants of the
Oval Office. "There is no doubt that the war
drums are beating pretty loudly here in
Herzliya," reports
Gideon Rachman, the Financial Times
foreign correspondent, who was struck by
"the number of top Americans who have
bothered to come over for the conference."
With US officials Gordon
England and Nick
Burns as the centerpieces, several serious
presidential wannabes decorated the podium: Mitt
Romney made a personal appearance, with John
McCain, Rudy Giuliani, and John
Edwards addressing the conference by
satellite. "I cannot think of any other
country in the world that could summon up this
level of American participation for a conference
like this," writes Rachman. "Certainly
not Britain."
Richard
Perle, Jim
Woolsey, and nutty
Newt
Gingrich rounded out the speakers list,
adding their own notes of individualized hysteria
to the chorus of warmongering. "A lot of
these chaps," avers Rachman, "were very
prominent in the drive to go to war in Iraq. Now,
flushed by their undoubted success there, they
are turning their attention to Iran."
That anyone, at this
date, is advocating another war in the Middle
East this time against a country three
times the size of Iraq, with a far larger
population, and the
will to fight is astonishing. Yet each
of these American politicians major
candidates for the highest office in the land
pledged at Herzliya that we would go to
war, if necessary, in order to stop the alleged
Iranian drive to acquire nukes. Former (and
aspiring) Prime Minister Benjamin
Netanyahu threw out the
CIA's assessment of 10
years before Tehran goes nuclear, and
substituted his own: 1,000
days. The supposed
imminence of an Iranian mushroom cloud looming
over the Israeli skyline imparted a certain
apocalyptic air to the proceedings, and the
American candidates put on quite
a show:
"US presidential hopefuls Mitt Romney,
John Edwards and John McCain, along with Newt
Gingrich, were in Israel, seemingly competing to
see who can be most strident in defense of the
Jewish state during personal or video appearances
at the conference here, just north of Tel Aviv.
"The four politicians called for ways to
prevent Iran's government from acquiring nuclear
weapons. While stressing the strong US-Israel
ties, the presidential hopefuls all agreed that
the US has to ratchet up sanctions on Iran and
leave the possibility of a military attack on
the table'."
Romney may have won
the hyperbole contest, but the big surprise was
Edwards, who came in second with his declaration
that preventing Iran from getting nukes is "is
the greatest challenge of our generation."
On the same day he ran an ad in Roll Call
calling on Congress to oppose the
"surge" in Iraq, he was telling
the Herzliya conference that "All options
are on the table to ensure that Iran will never
get a nuclear weapon."
"At a time when most Democrats in the
United States are calling for less military
involvement abroad," notes
the Jersusalem Post, "Edwards, of
South Carolina, told the Seventh Annual Herzliya
Conference on Monday that his country must do
everything that it can to stop Iran from
possessing nuclear weapons." His position is
that we need to negotiate while tightening
sanctions and never ceasing to threaten them.
This marked Edwards as the "moderate"
at the conference.
In spite of all the posturing tough
talk, the Israelis don't
have the military capacity to take out all of
Iran's suspected nuclear sites in one fell swoop,
or even half a dozen swoops: only the United
States has the ability
to do that. Unable to do it on their own, the
Israelis must, somehow, cajole us into doing it
for them.
The question is: how is it in American
interests to go to war with Iran over this issue?
The Iranian mullahs are not about to launch a
nuclear first strike at Israel, for all of Bernard
Lewis's visions of a Shi'ite apocalypse. Yes,
there is a millennialist
mythology in Shi'ite Islam, a mirror image of
the end-of-the-world-ism
of born-again
Christian Rapturists in the West. Both groups
support powerful political parties in their respective
countries,
yet one can hardly conclude, from this, that
either the US or Iran is about to attack the
other with nuclear weapons.
In any case, there is no threat to America,
per se, unless one counts radical "settlers"
from Brooklyn squatting on Palestinian land. The
"existential threat" if
it can be called that, as it was at the
conference is to Israel, not the US. Yet
the Israelis' hysterical response is way out of
proportion to the alleged danger, even given the
worst case scenario.
If and when the Iranians produce nuclear
weapons, the result will be very similar to what
occurred during the cold war, with both sides
constrained by the prospect of mutual
assured destruction. Professor Lewis to the
contrary, the Iranians are not about to indulge
in an act of collective suicide by raining
nuclear death on Israeli cities. Retaliation
would be swift, and merciless.
The Israelis already have nukes, and I don't
see them rushing to abide by or
even sign the Nonproliferation Treaty. The
significance of a nuclearized Iran isn't the
prospect of an Iranian first strike at Israel
highly unlikely is putting it mildly
but Israel's loss of its regional nuclear
monopoly. Iran is making its bid to reassert its
historical role as the regional hegemon, or at
least positioning to contend for the title with
Israel and the US
The campaign to provoke war with Iran is aimed
at maintaining Israeli nuclear supremacy in the
Middle East. Americans are supposed to support
this because an Israeli first strike at Tehran,
or elsewhere in the Arab world, is unthinkable
right? On the other hand, one can easily
imagine Deputy Prime Minister Avigdor
Lieberman ordering the nuking of Tehran,
Mecca, and Cairo.
The Lobby has a hard
task, and one has to admire them for what
they achieved: after all, it is so clearly not
in America's interest to be seen as Israel's
cat's-paw in the region, yet they have managed to
make it so anyway. As Mearsheimer and Walt put
it:
"Other special-interest groups have
managed to skew foreign policy, but no lobby has
managed to divert it as far from what the
national interest would suggest, while
simultaneously convincing Americans that US
interests and those of the other country
in this case, Israel are essentially
identical."
When John Edwards, who poses
as a peace candidate, declares that we will go to
war with Iran before we'll let them break
Israel's nuclear monopoly in the Middle East,
that should tell us something about how the power
of the Lobby has distorted our foreign policy and
deformed the American political process. In
paying homage to Herzliya, Edwards and his fellow
candidates are betraying and subverting American
interests.
So why do they do it? Clark's analysis of the
pressure, including financial pressure, is quite
accurate: it takes an enormous amount of money to
run for president, and there are other pressures
as well. Anyone who takes a stand against the
Lobby is relentlessly smeared, as were professors
Mearsheimer
and Walt, and as Gen. Clark is being
smeared now.
With a born-again Christian faction in the GOP
theologically
committed to putting Israeli interests over
and above American interests, and big
contributors to the Democratic party making unconditional
support for Israel a litmus test for
candidates, the two-party system keeps the Lobby
in the saddle, and politically formidable
in spite of recent troubles having to do with possible
violations of the Espionage Act.
Just as we attacked Iraq "motivated in
good part by a desire to make Israel more
secure," as Mearsheimer and Walt put it, so
we'll fight the
next war against Iran for the
same reason. The power of the Lobby is being
mobilized, and not
quietly. While there is some opposition,
notably coming from Harry
Reid and others who say that the war
authorization for Iraq didn't and doesn't include
Iran, Congress has yet to take any concrete
action. In any event, as Dick Cheney put it,
"It won't stop us."
We seem set on a course for catastrophe, and
if there is any way to avoid it given our
rigged political system the first step
must be a public outcry. That's why I've been pushing
a measure introduced by Congressman Walter B.
Jones, Republican of North Carolina, House Joint
Resolution 14, which forbids an attack on
Iran by US forces unless our troops or interests
are directly attacked first.
Not surprisingly, the Democratic party is a
major obstacle to the passage of the Jones
resolution. I had a call in to Speaker Nancy
Pelosi's office last week asking about her
position on H.J. Res. 14 and still no
answer. Maybe you can get an answer out of her,
one way or the other. Call (202)
225-4965 and tell her
Justin Raimondo sent you
.
|
Whose Oil is it Anyway?Survival Strategies
for Iran
by Dr. Moti Nissani
www.dissidentvoice.org
February 1, 2007
Iran, in 2007, faces an enormous peril to its
independence, land, and people. The future of the country
is in the balance, depending in part on the ability of
its current strongmen to checkmate their adversaries.
Iraq
tells us what is at stake here (see for example, Barry M.
Lando, 2007, Web of Deceit). By now, entire
cities have been reduced to rubble, garrisons, misery,
and chaos. Vast tracts of land are contaminated, and meaningful jobs are as scarce as hen's
teeth. The neo-colonialists have shrewdly resorted
to a divide-and-conquer policy. As in Nicaragua, El
Salvador, and scores of other places, they have fomented
a bloody civil war, complete with extreme sectarian
violence and government-sponsored death
squads. Iraqi Arabs are daily humiliated, tortured,
and incarcerated by the neo-colonialists and their
quislings, to the point that some ordinary men and women
prefer a Samson-style death to the living hell that is
now Iraq. Iraqi scientists and intellectuals have
been systematically murdered and silenced by the
occupying forces and their allies. Fear is in the
air, everywhere.
The
numbers themselves defy belief. The USA was
instrumental in bringing Saddam Hussein to power, and is
thus indirectly and partially responsible for his crimes
and misadventures. Iraq's war with Iran was
partially engineered by the USA and its weapons'
manufacturers, sustaining a cataclysm that may have
caused, to both sides combined, some 1,000,000 deaths and
2,000,000 injuries. The subsequent USA-imposed
economic strangulation (1990-2003) has been probably
responsible for the death of an additional 1,000,000
Iraqis, and, since 2003, the invasion and occupation of
Iraq caused the loss of some 600,000 lives. The
number of maimed and injured since 2003 is, most likely,
even higher than 600,000. The number of refugees
probably exceeds 1,000,000. Thus, over the past 26 years
or so, as a result of Anglo-American interventions and
their shock and awe tactics, perhaps 7% of the Iraqi
people have been directly or indirectly murdered, another
7% might have been physically injured, and yet another 7%
forced into exile. Moreover, most surviving Iraqis have
suffered psychological traumas and shell shocks that
might haunt them for the rest of their lives. To add
insult to injury, many of the victims have been children
and other innocent bystanders. One can legitimately argue
about these order-of-magnitude estimates and the extent
to which these upheavals slowed down population growth in
Iraq, in part because one must infer these very estimates
from what the killers themselves choose to divulge.
Notwithstanding such uncertainties, the deliberate, virtually
unilateral, carnage is on a sufficiently large scale
to be considered a genocide.
At the
same time, Iraq's oil wealth has been appropriated by the
neo-colonialists. For the real rulers of the USA --
the power players in the shadows, the big bankers, oil
men, arms merchants, the Israeli lobby, the people who
predetermine who wins and loses any given Federal, state,
and local election -- Iraq, like any other imperialistic
project, has been a bonanza. These tycoons have
made billions, and they are intent on making
more. That they do not anticipate ever leaving Iraq
is evident from the installation of vast permanent
military bases in that occupied land, at a staggering
cost to the long-suffering, mostly decent but hoodwinked,
American people. Wanted or not, these lovers of
skulls and bones (always from a safe distance, of course)
plan to keep these bases at least for as long as the palm
trees shall grow and the oil flow. They are
interested, as Henry Kissinger cynically explained, in
undercover actions, not in social
work.
In my
view, the gravest error Iran could commit is
underestimating the tenacity, determination, colossal
greed, and Machiavellian brilliance of its American
adversaries. Iran's black gold is simply too tempting for
men who have been conditioned, all their lives, to
dispense with any common decency whatsoever and to
worship wealth and power. These men plan to re-colonize
and depopulate Iran, and they are merely looking for the
right moment. If that moment does not come on its own,
they will skillfully create it. Neither Iran, nor any
other country, could contain them through conventional
wars.
When the
USA finally makes its move, it would send 100,000
profitable (profitable to the arms and oil merchants,
that is) sorties of destruction, week after bloody week,
thus sending Iran "back to the stone age," and
only then will America move its gun ships, tanks, and
armored vehicles towards Tehran. If
"conventional" destruction fails, the USA might
use profitable "tactical" nuclear weapons,
without blinking an eye. Either way, there will be
precious few power and industrial plants left standing in
Iran, few hospitals, few factories, few military
installations, few water treatment plants, and fewer
civilians. For America's rulers, anything goes -- as long
as they manage to keep the oil wells out of harm's way
To avoid
this hell, Iranian policy should seek to outfox America's
rulers at their own game, not, as Iran's decision-makers
do now, by responding with justifiable but suicidal anger
to American provocations. Somerset Maugham says someplace
that the politicians he has known, seen, or heard about
did not impress him with their brilliance. To survive,
Iran's rulers must prove him wrong. How?
Above
all, Iran must buy time. First, Iran's decision-makers
should swallow their pride and let go for the moment of
one and all nuclear projects. They must bide their time,
preserve their nation's independence, minimize their
losses, protect their people from genocide, and
strengthen the infrastructure of their own country.
Second, Iranians should not play into their enemies'
hands by militarily escalating the conflict. Their
enemies are not paper tigers. They will not blink,
for these enemies have vast oil fields to gain and
nothing to lose -- they are playing with their
countrymen's money and lives, not their own. Third,
in their speeches and actions, Iran's politicians might
wish to portray themselves as lovers of peace, as leaders
who are committed to social justice and freedom for
people of all races, religions, and ethnic backgrounds,
thus depriving their enemies of much needed propaganda
weapons. Fourth, Iran should use some of its wealth
and the wealth of its friends to fund, behind the scenes,
a lobby that would follow the examples of others in
lavishly and skillfully swaying American policy and
opinion makers. The USA, Iran must see, is a land of
sunshine bribery (a.k.a. "campaign financing"),
a land whose policies and media can be discreetly
controlled by outsiders and by a cabal of homegrown
billionaires. It's a country that prostrates itself,
always, to the highest bidder, a land where he who
pays the congressman calls the wars.
Even if
all these steps are taken, they might delay conquest but
not avert it, for as everyone deep down knows, the
dispute is about oil and world ownership, not about
"terrorism," nuclear weapons, or
"democracy" (see F. W. Engdahl.
2004. A Century of War). History is
clear on this point. The Anglo-Americans wanted the
Indigenous people's land, and heartlessly and
systematically exterminated well over 10,000,000 men,
women, and children to achieve that goal (David E.
Stannard, 1992, American Holocaust). They
wanted Massachusetts, Texas, California, the Philippines,
Burma, Japan, Iraq, and got them -- by any means
necessary. As America's resistance to meaningful
global warming legislation shows, they are willing to risk humanity's very
future to sustain their oil and power
addictions.
Iran can
gain time, but it cannot win a conventional or nuclear
war against an implacable opponent which can count on a
misinformed citizenry, a strong economy, and the most
breathtaking killing machines the world has ever
seen. Against such an opponent, courage, pride, or
religious fervor avail nothing.
In the
final analysis, Iran's only chance of saving itself
involves conceptual
flexibility, adopting
its strategies to the demands of the situation, and not
letting its enemies dictate the terms of
engagement. To begin with, Iran must let the world
know that it plans to use its air and sea power fully the
moment the country is attacked, during the first hours of
open conflict, before these weapons are destroyed.
Likewise,
Iran must urgently acquire an additional deterrent which
would forego large-scale, heads-on, subsequent
engagements and which would appeal to the self-interest
of Iran's would-be usurpers, not to their humanity.
Instead of focusing on conventional defense, Iranians
should dedicate every spare rial to a post-conquest
strategy aimed at driving the neo-colonialists out should
they ever try to physically take over the
country. Instead of acquiring more battleships and
fighting jets, Iran should purchase and widely distribute
millions of submachine guns, night vision devices,
hand-held antiaircraft, small armor-piercing weapons, and
hand grenades. Plans should be taken now to establish a
base for a government in exile, to totally annihilate, in
the event of an invasion, airports, oil fields,
pipelines, factories, roads -- anything that could aid or
finance the long-term occupation of the country. The
Russian scorched-earth model in the face of superior
forces, the Swiss defense model, the Maoist model, the
American model of conducting the revolutionary wars,
should all be taken in consideration in devising a plan
for evicting the occupiers. Only such concrete,
highly conspicuous, preparations might convince Iran's
would-be attackers that the personal costs to them
(not to their country) of such an attack will exceed the
benefits. These are, in my view, the only
deterrents that might save Iran's current rulers from
incarceration, torture, or hanging, the Iranian people
from ruin, and the American people from culpability in
yet another crime against humanity.
Dr. Moti Nissani teaches at Wayne State University,
Michigan, USA, and is the author of Lives
in the Balance: The Cold War and American Politics,
1945-1991. He can
be reached at: Moti.Nissani@wayne.edu.
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